Project manager at the CMA

Edi ASSOUMOU

https://cv.hal.science/edi-assoumou

Project type

European Research Area for Climate Services (ERA4CS)

Project duration

3 years (2017-2020)

Research teams involved at the CMA

Prospective modelling / Data and machine learning/ Mathematical optimisation

Partners

  • ACTEON (France)
  • German National Meteorological Service (DWD)
  • Luleå University of Technology (LTU) (Sweden)
  • University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU) (Austria)
  • University College Cork (UCC) (Ireland)
  • NOVA Université de Lisbonne (Portugal)
  • Université de Lisbonne (FCID) (Portugal)
  • Énergies du Portugal (EDP) (Portugal)

Project description

Clim2Power is a European research project developed by several research centres from different countries. The project contributes to the research effort in response to the environmental challenges facing the European electricity system, particularly with regard to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. The aim is to provide all potential end-users (policymakers, stakeholders, etc.) with indicators of the impact of climate on hydro, wind and solar power production and electricity demand on a seasonal and long-term scale. All this information can be accessed via web interface. Using an approach hitherto absent from the literature, the project also proposes taking climate variability into account in investment decisions relating to the planning of the European electricity system. As shown in Figure 1, the climatic data is first translated into hydroelectric, photovoltaic and wind generation. Secondly, these values are used in energy system models to indicate the gain in terms of, for example, reduced CO2 emissions when renewable resources are integrated into the energy system. The important novelty introduced in this project is that this pipeline is implemented taking into account several possible future climate scenarios. This analysis makes it possible to extract consistent energy indicators across the whole of Europe.

Figure 1: Process of Clim2Power project tasks (Author: Sofia G. Simoes)

Publications and communications relating to the project

Articles

  • Patricia Fortes, Sofia Simoes, Filipa Amorim, Gildas Siggini, Valentina Sessa, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Sılvia Carvalho, Babar Mujtaba, Paulo Diogo, and Edi Assoumou. How sensitive is a carbon-neutral power sector to climate change? The interplay between hydro, solar and wind for Portugal. Energy, 239:122106, January 2022. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.122106. URL https://minesparis-psl.hal.science/hal-03396051.
  • Valentina Sessa, Edi Assoumou, Mireille Bossy, and Sofia Simoes. Analyzing the Applicability of Random Forest-Based Models for the Forecast of Run-of-River Hydropower Generation. CleanTechnologies, 3(4):858–880, December 2021. doi: 10.3390/cleantechnol3040050. URL https://inria.hal.science/hal-03499725.
  • Sofia Simoes, Filipa Amorim, Gildas Siggini, Valentina Sessa, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Sılvia Carvalho,Hamza Mraihi, and Edi Assoumou. Climate proofing the renewable electricity deployment inEurope – Introducing climate variability in large energy systems models. Energy Strategy Reviews,35:100657, May 2021. doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2021.100657. URL https://hal.science/hal-03279783.
  • Filipa Amorim, Sofia Simoes, Gildas Siggini, and Edi Assoumou. Introducing climate variability in energy systems modelling. Energy, 206:118089, September 2020. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.118089.URL https://hal.science/hal-03084213.
  • Amorim, F., Simoes, S.G. Assoumou, E., Siggini, G. (2019). Introducing Climate Variability in Energy Systems Modelling. ICEE 2019- 4th International Conference on Energy and Environment: bringing together Engineering and Economics, 16-17 May 2019, Guimarães, Portugal. https://coutin68.wixsite.com/icee2019
  • Sessa, V., Carvalho, S., Assoumou, E. (2019) Variability of long-term estimates of hydro power generation on a European scale. ICAE 2019 – 11th International Conference on Applied Energy, 12-15 August 2019, Västerås, Sweden. http://www.applied-energy.org/icae2019/

Communications and posters

  • Sessa, V., Assoumou, E., Simoes, S.G. (2020) AI for smart and climate resilient energy systems: the challenges of learning and forecasting hydropower production time series at local and global scale in Europe. SophI.A Summit – Workshop of Artificial Intelligence, University Côte d’ Azur, 17-21 Nov 2020 Sophia Antipolis, France. https://univ-cotedazur.fr/events-uca/sophia-summit
  • Fortes, P., Simoes, S.G., Amorim, F., Siggini, G., Sessa, V., Saint-Drenan, Y-M., Carvalho, S., Mujtaba, B., Diogo, P., Assoumou, E. (2020) How sensitive is a carbon neutral power sector to climate change? Interplay between hydro, solar and wind for Portugal. EMP-E 2020 – Modelling Climate Neutrality for the European Green Deal. 6th-8th October 2020, online conference. http://www.energymodellingplatform.eu/emp-e-2020.html (POSTER)
  • Siggini, G., Simoes, S.G., Assoumou, E., Demassey, S. (2020) Cost-optimal role of wind and solar power in Europe under climate change. EMP-E 2020 – Modelling Climate Neutrality for the European Green Deal. 6th-8th October 2020, online conference. http://www.energymodellingplatform.eu/emp-e-2020.html (POSTER)
  • Amorim, F., Simoes, S.G., Siggini, G., Assoumou, E. (2019) Clim2Power – Integrating climate data on a highly resolved TIMES model. 75th semi-annual ETSAP Meeting, 7th June 2019, Paris
  • Sessa, V. Assoumou, E., Bossy, M. (2019) Modeling the climate dependency of the run-of-river based hydro power generation using machine learning techniques: an application to French, Portuguese and Spanish cases. EMS – European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting 2019. 9-13 September 2019, EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts Vol. 16, EMS2019-238, 2019.Copenhagen, Denmark. https://www.emetsoc.org/events/event/ems-annual-meeting-2019/
  • Thuilliez, M, Sessa V., Bossy, M., Assoumou, E., Simões, S. (2019) Stochastic Model for the Uncertainties in the Long-Term Prediction of Run-of-River Hydropower Generation. PGMO Days 2019, 1-2 December 2019, Paris, France. https://www.fondation-hadamard.fr/sites/default/files/public/bibliotheque/PGMO/PGMO-2019-booklet.pdf
  • Simoes, S.G., Assoumou, E., Siggini, G., Carvalho, S., Oliveira, A., Amorim, F., Fortes, P., Saint-Drenan, Y-M., Sessa, V., Beça, P., Diogo, P., Mujtaba, B., Lourenço, T., Paes, P., (2020). Assessing climate change impacts in the European and Portuguese power sector. POSTER. Encontro Nacional de Investigação em Alterações Climáticas [National Meeting on Climate Change Research], 17-18 February 2020, Lisbon University, Lisbon